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CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Russia said it cracked down on several Ukrainian military equipment and repulsed Russia's multi-directional attacks. The Russian Defense Ministry issued a war report on the 12th, saying that in the past day, Russian armed forces killed and wounded 1,345 Ukrainian troops and destroyed many Ukrainian military equipment including tanks, armored vehicles and American howitzers. Russian air defense forces shot down four American-made "Haima" rockets and 37 drones of the Ukrainian army. In addition, Russian troops also controlled the "Zarija" settlement in Donetsk. According to the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, there were 203 battles in the frontline area in the past day, and the situation on the frontline remained grim. The Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units destroyed many Russian military personnel assembly areas and control points. In the direction of Kharkov, Pokrovsk and Kulahovo, the Ukrainian army repelled many Russian attacks. In addition, the Ukrainian army continued to carry out operations in the Kursk region.Precious metal futures continued to fall, and the main contract of Shanghai Bank fell by nearly 2%, and it is now reported at 7798 yuan/kg; The main contract of Shanghai Gold fell by nearly 1% and is now reported at 623.08 yuan/gram.

The USD/CHF broke through the 0.8900 mark, and the latest price was 0.8901, up 0.67% in the day.A quick look at the authority of Xinhua News Agency | The Central Economic Work Conference in 2024 will set the tone for economic work next year.Sources: A few ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Three sources said that several ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates more sharply on Thursday, and they were worried that the new US tariffs would hinder economic growth. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, and opened the door for more easing policies, as the euro zone economy was dragged down by domestic political instability and the threat of a new round of trade war in the United States. However, due to the low forecast of inflation and economic growth, about five of the 26 members of the official Committee initially advocated a 50 basis point interest rate cut. In particular, they pointed out that if the incoming Trump administration imposes new tariffs on the EU, the growth of economic output next year may be lower than the 1.1% expected by the European Central Bank. A small number of policy makers who called for greater interest rate cuts quickly gave in, adding that given the current uncertainty, people are reluctant to make a hasty decision.

Russia said that it had established direct contact with the political committee of the Syrian "Sharm el-Liberation Organization". On the 12th local time, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Bogdahn Novo said that Russia had established direct contact with the political committee of the Syrian armed group "Liberation Syria".Southeast Asian Stock Market | On Thursday (December 12), the Vietnam Stock Exchange index closed down 0.12% at 1267.35 points. Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange /VN 30 Index closed down 0.07% at 1335.55 points.French Ambassador to Ukraine: The first batch of Mirage 2000-5 fighters will be provided to Ukraine early next year. On December 12, local time, French Ambassador to Ukraine Visier said that in early 2025, France will provide Ukraine with the first batch of Mirage 2000-5 fighters as planned, and Ukrainian pilots and technicians are currently receiving training. He did not disclose the number of fighters to be delivered. Earlier, according to a report by Ukrainian Pravda on October 8, French Defense Minister Sebastian Lecornu said that France planned to deliver Mirage fighters to Ukraine early next year.